This new series will be taking a weekly look at which teams in the A10 have the potential to be selected into the NCAA tournament. Updated every Tuesday morning, these projections are based off of non-conference and conference performances, as well as projections from the experts. 

KEY: NR (not ranked), N/A (not updated)

All projections based on if the season ended today.

Locks

George Washington Colonials (13-3, 2-1 A10)

ESPN: 10 seed | CBS Sports: 9 seed | NBC Sports: 10 seed

Despite an ugly loss to Saint Louis, the Colonials remain a lock in every expert’s bracket projections. The good news for GW is that they rebounded with a blowout win over Duquesne, reassuring everyone that they’re still a top tier A10 team. They get two important games this week against UMass and Dayton. A win over the ladder would likely leapfrog them to #1 in our weekly Power Rankings, and move move them up in the bracketology pool.

Dayton Flyers (12-3, 2-1 A10)

ESPN: 6 seed | CBS Sports: 6 seed | NBC Sports: 8 seed

Dayton too remains a lock despite a bad loss this week. An upset loss to La Salle does the Flyers no favors, but they still are all but a guarantee for the tourney. They get Davidson and George Washington this week, two opportunities for quality wins. A clean sweep of the week would bump them back to around that 4/5 seed status.

On the Bubble

St. Joseph’s Hawks (12-3, 2-1 A10)

ESPN: Next Four Out | CBS Sports: 10 seed | NBC Sports: Next Four Out

Unfortunately for the Hawks, their loss this week to VCU could have been a great opportunity to jump the rankings. Instead, they remain on the bubble but are very much in the race for an appearance at the Big Dance. Their win over URI was key to retain the status quo, and the same goes for both of their matchups this week against George Mason and Fordham. Win both, and they should be in as seeded in all three of the bracket experts’ predictions.

VCU Rams (11-5, 3-0 A10)

ESPN: 11 seed | CBS Sports: NR | NBC Sports: 12 seed

A 3-0 start in conference play has people back talking about the Rams. Wins over St. Joe’s and SLU this week were important to keep the resume fresh, and wins over Fordham and Richmond this week would serve the same purpose. Remember, despite the five losses, VCU has yet to lose a bad game. Plus, given NCAA tournament precedent from years prior, the committee is likely to respect this team come Selection Sunday.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies (11-3, 3-0 A10)

ESPN: NR | CBS Sports: 12 seed | NBC Sports: NR

So you’re saying there’s a chance? Well, as of right now, yes. The Bonnies got two decisive wins this week over George Mason and UMass and are surprising doubters with their perfect conference record. While they are only listed as “in” in Jerry Palm’s CBS bracket projection, St. Bona can boost their resume this week with games against URI and Duquesne. If the Bonnies emerge 5-0, they should be a shoe-in across the board.

Outside Looking In

Richmond Spiders (9-6, 1-2 A10)

ESPN: NR | CBS Sports: NR | NBC Sports: NR

Richmond had a less than stellar week, dropping a game to URI but beating Fordham. A previous tourney contender, the Spiders have faltered as of late and will need a serious resurgence in conference play if they want to get back into the tourney talk. We’ll reevaluate if they can beat VCU this week, but without that win it is very unlikely Richmond gets back into the conversation any time soon.

Davidson Wildcats (10-4, 2-1 A10)

ESPN: NR | CBS Sports: NR | NBC Sports: NR

It was a solid week for Davidson with wins over George Mason and Duquesne, but the Wildcats will need to continue to perform this week to up their tourney status. They get the opportunity to show their skill this week when they take on Dayton. If Davidson wins this game, they’re right back on the bubble.

Rhode Island Rams (10-6, 2-1 A10)

ESPN: NR | CBS Sports: NR | NBC Sports: NR

The Rams are near the back of the pack in terms of teams with tournament potential. Rhody remains on the outside just because of their conference record, but they’d probably have to only suffer two or three losses the rest of the season to get a chance at a berth. We’ll revisit them next week.