Now that the field is known, here are the probabilities of winning the tourney by Team Rankings' reckoning: SLU (26.5%), Bona (19.8%), VCU (18.4%), Davidson (15.3%). Of course, the above posted matrix showed the actual Monday outcome had a 1.5% probability before play started, so we should not ignore the 1.5% likelihood that George Mason is crowned A10 Champion.